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Bracing for a broader conflict: How the Israel-Hamas war could escalate
Cover image: picture alliance / Xinhua News Agency | Ali HashishoAmid the escalating war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza, the region is bracing itself for a broader conflict. It will take concerted...
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COP28: France has a key role to play
COP28 President Sultan al-Jaber, center, attends the opening session at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Thursday, Nov. 30, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Peter Dejong) | picture...
View ArticleThe role of the Persian Gulf in the war in Gaza
Second only to the United States, the Gulf countries have emerged as key players in the Israel-Hamas war. Qatar has been a crucial go-between in negotiating the recent hostage return and seven-day...
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Beyond Gaza: focus on regional and global players
A small Arab League flag on an abstract blurry background. | picture alliance / Zoonar | Aleksey ButenkovThe fourth episode of ECFR’s WOMENP mini-series, recorded during the 2023 Doha Forum, looks at...
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National interests and regional turmoil: The Gulf states’ view on Gaza and...
Cover image: picture alliance / NurPhoto | Noushad ThekkayilSince the outbreak of the war in Gaza, the Gulf states have collectively expressed strong criticism of Israel and its close ally, the United...
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Seeing Red: Towards a diplomatic solution to Houthi attacks
Cover image: picture alliance / ASSOCIATED PRESS | UncreditedIn the latest regional escalation sparked by the Israel-Gaza war, the United States and United Kingdom struck Houthi targets in Yemen on...
View ArticleThe future of the Red Sea
Two weeks ago, the United States and the United Kingdom launched airstrikes against Houthi targets in Yemen in response to the group’s continued attacks on commercial shipping in the Red Sea. While the...
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Rest meets West: How the UAE keeps its economic ties open
Cover image: picture alliance / NurPhoto | Kabir JhangianiHaving become a BRICS+ member in January, the United Arab Emirates is eager to consolidate its position as an important – and non-aligned –...
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The Gaza crisis: Mapping the Middle East’s shifting battle lines
Cover image: picture alliance / REUTERS | Amir CohenLast updated: 16 April 2024… Source
View ArticleShifting sands: The geoeconomic triumphs of the Gulf
Amid growing geopolitical fragmentation and the rise of middle powers, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia stand out for their successful attempts to reinvent themselves as regional linchpins....
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Global Saudi: How Europeans can work with an evolving kingdom
Cover image: picture alliance / Hans Lucas | Xose BouzasSummary Following the geopolitical shifts triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Western retrenchment from the Middle East and North...
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Mending fences: Europe’s stake in the Saudi-Iran detente
Cover image: picture alliance / ZUMAPRESS.com | Iranian PresidencySummary Saudi-Iran rivalry has long deepened conflict lines in the Middle East. But growing mutual vulnerabilities prompted a quiet...
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Summit of ambition: How European and Gulf states can build a newly strategic...
Cover image: picture alliance / Hans Lucas | Union Europenne The first-ever summit between the European Union and the Gulf Cooperation Council takes place on 16 October in Brussels. In recent years,...
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Out of the rubble: The new Gulf response to Israeli aggression
Cover image: picture alliance / SIPA | Saudi Press Agency apai Israel’s September 9th airstrike on Qatar has shattered Gulf states’ assumptions about regional security. The attack targeted senior Hamas...
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Sudan: A war Europe cannot stop, but cannot ignore
Cover image: picture alliance / REUTERS | El Tayeb Siddig A city and its people have held out for 18 months against an invading army. They have fought bravely against the odds, despite being almost...
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Trump’s AI thaw: How Europe and the Gulf can protect against American and...
Cover image: picture alliance / ASSOCIATED PRESS | Evan Vucci It is no coincidence artificial intelligence topped the agenda in this week’s White House meeting between Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin...
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From partners to rivals: What the Saudi-UAE rupture means for Europeans
Cover image: picture alliance / REUTERS | Fawaz Salman In December 2025, the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC) launched a major offensive in Yemen’s Hadhramaut and al-Mahra regions,...
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Yemen: Between Gulf tensions and Iran war clouds
Cover image: picture alliance / ASSOCIATED PRESS | Uncredited Yemen is once again in a shifting geopolitical landscape: amid the increasing risk of military conflict between the US and Iran, rising...
View ArticleTrump strikes Iran
In this emergency episode, Mark Leonard is joined by Ellie Geranmayeh, deputy director of ECFR’s Middle East and North Africa programme, Jeremy Shapiro, ECFR’s research director, and Cinzia Bianco,...
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A war with no winners: The costs of US-Israeli aggression on Iran
Cover image: picture alliance / Middle East Images | Fariba In the early hours of Saturday morning, joint American and Israeli strikes fell on Iran. By daybreak, the Middle East had erupted into a new...
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The Gulf on the front line: The end of strategic hedging and new space for...
Cover image: picture alliance / Anadolu | Dursun Aydemir The war on Iran has created a “Zeitenwende moment” for the Gulf monarchies. It marks nothing less than the end of their policy of strategic...
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The postwar UAE and the remaking of Gulf politics
Cover image: picture alliance / ZUMAPRESS.com | Lev Radin The United Arab Emirates’ decision to quit the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is the latest expression of a strategic...
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Bypassing the straits: The India-Middle East-Europe corridor needs a wartime...
Bulk Carrier 'Avra' at the Port of Fujairah, as the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran limits marine traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates, May 6, 2026. REUTERS/Amr Alfiky |...
View ArticleIl Circolo dell’ECFR – Hormuz, energia e connettività: la doppia sfida per...
La chiusura dello Stretto di Hormuz ha posto l’Europa di fronte a una doppia sfida: ripensare la transizione energetica in un contesto di forte incertezza sugli idrocarburi e sviluppare nuove rotte di...
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The Saudi dilemma: How Yemen could shape the next phase of the Iran war
Cover image: picture alliance / Anadolu | Mohammed Hamoud The next phase of the war between the US and Iran may be decided not in the Gulf but in Yemen. The Houthis’ decision to blockade Saudi Arabia...
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